According to Weather.com "Satellite images now reveal an increased concentration of thunderstorms near a broad area of low pressure just east of Honduras and Nicaragua. Shearing upper-level winds are expected to diminish as the low drifts toward the west-northwest toward the Yucatan Peninsula the next few days. Therefore, development of this into the season's first Atlantic tropical depression is possible.
A Hurricane Hunter flight has been scheduled for Friday afternoon, if necessary, to investigate the low.
This is the current weather advisory as of 1:36 pm from the National Weather Center:
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALLTTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS
TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL200 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO..
1. SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE AREA BETWEEN THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS AND GRAND CAYMAN HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE SYSTEM TO DETERMINE IF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED. REGARDLESS...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY FORM AT ANY TIME LATER TODAY ORSATURDAY. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEMBECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THISSYSTEM...ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS...IS FORECASTTO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND REACH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IN A DAY OR TWO. ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND YUCATAN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
2. A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS CENTEREDJUST EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS ASSOCIATED WITH ATROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. THIS SYSTEMHAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES TOWARD THENORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OFTHIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.
FORECASTER AVILA / ROBERTS'