Here are the numbers:
As anticipation builds for Christine Blasey Ford's testimony in front of the Senate Judiciary Committee tomorrow, a new Morning Consult and Politico poll finds Republican women are beginning to lose faith in Brett Kavanaugh and President Trump.
The survey was conducted Sept. 20-23, 2018 among 1,966 registered voters before the New Yorker published their piece revealing the second accuser.
Key highlights:
Opposition for Kavanaugh's nomination grows amid sexual assault allegations: This week, 37% of voters say the Senate should not vote to confirm Kavanaugh, compared to 34% who say he should be confirmed (29% DK/no opinion). Last week, 34% supported a Kavanaugh confirmation while 30% opposed (36% DK/no opinion).
- An uptick in GOP opposition: This week, the share of Republicans who oppose his confirmation dropped 11 points, with 58% support and 14% oppose.
- The shift was driven by an 18-point fall in support among Republican women, with 49 percent now in favor and 15 percent in opposition. Last week, 60% said confirm and 6% said don't confirm last week
- 75% have heard 'a lot' or 'some' about Kavanaugh sexual assault claims
- 37% say Senate Republicans are moving too fast on the Kavanaugh nomination, 20% say they are going at the right speed and 15% who say too slow
- 63% of Democrats and 35% of independents say Senate Republicans are moving too quickly
Trump approval tumbles among GOP women amid Kavanaugh assault claims: Views of 72% of GOP voters now approve of the president and 23% disapprove, down 16 points since the poll last week
- Among GOP women, the drop was 19 points since last week, with 68% approving and 26% disapproving
Voters predict GOP will retain the Senate, split on the House: 41% of voters believe the GOP will maintain control of the Senate, 32% say Democrats.
- 65% of Republicans say the GOP will maintain control of the Senate, 58% of Democrats say otherwise
- 38% of voters believe Democrats will take control of the House of Representatives, 36% say Republicans
The full results are also available at morningconsult.com
Any references to the survey must be credited and linked back to Morning Consult/POLITICO.
Questions or requests can be directed to anthony@morningconsult.com
Methodology:
This poll was conducted from Sept. 20-23 2018, among a national sample of 1,966 registered voters. The interviews were conducted online and the data were weighted to approximate a target sample of registered voters based on age, race/ethnicity, gender, educational attainment, and region. Results from the full survey have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.
