The past three months have been horrific with a global pandemic, an economic shutdown, the tragic death of George Floyd and the resulting riots across the country. The best economy in the world quickly turned sour as the economic shutdown led to 42 million Americans filing for unemployment claims and the unemployment rate skyrocketing from 3.5% in February to 14.7% in April.
This week, the left-wing media has been focusing on the riots across the country and highlighting the President’s so-called “dictatorial” actions. A new Fox News poll showed the President losing to former Vice President Joe Biden in three battleground states, while his overall approval rating had dropped to 40%, according to a new Reuters poll.
With a pandemic still concerning millions of Americans, Democrat Governors refusing to reopen states and a series of riots across the country, most analysts like Democratic political consultant James Carville have been predicting a massive Biden victory in November. According to Carville, “If we go and take it to him and talk about what a massive fat figure he is, we can run away with this thing. The idea is not to defeat Trump, we have to defeat Trump-ism.”
Despite Biden’s horrific performance in recent interviews, his frequent gaffes and unsteady appearance, many Democrats are confident of an overwhelming victory in November. They believe that the poor economy, coupled with a health crisis, racial issues, police protests and unrelenting media criticism of the President will help them win in November against a candidate who cannot even unite his political party.
As usual, the pundits have underestimated Donald Trump. In 2015, so-called experts believed his candidacy was a joke. In 2016, they first claimed he could never win the nomination, followed by claims he could never win the presidency. \
When he won, his enemies said he stole the election with “Russian interference” and attempts were made to influence the vote of the Electoral College. When his victory was confirmed, his opponents made it their mission to destroy him.
With all the troubles throughout the country, the President was seemingly in a precarious political position. Then, the May jobs report was published today, and it was astonishing to say the least.
Instead of the unemployment rate increasing to almost 20% as experts had predicted, it declined to 13.3%, with the addition of 2.5 million new jobs. Clearly, despite the warnings from health experts and the continued lockdown by Democratic Governors, the American people are ready to get back to work.
This economic boost will lead to more gains in the months ahead as the economy starts to fully reopen. The unemployment rate will continue to fall, and economic activity will continue to increase.
Today, the real “comeback kid” is President Trump. He has been discounted and underestimated since the start of his political career five years ago. However, with the pandemic easing and the economy starting to improve, his political fortunes should improve as the election nears. As Carville noted in the 1992 election, “It’s the economy stupid,” since voters will disregard other issues and vote their pocketbook.
The wild card in this election will be the continued protests throughout the country, but the President will stand with police and “law and order.” This position will remain popular with most Americans who view the rioting and looting from groups like Antifa with disdain.
Of course, much work needs to be done to continue to improve the economy in the months ahead, but the electoral prospects for President Trump have suddenly improved. Political experts would be wise not to discount the chances of the real “comeback kid.”
Jeff Crouere is a native New Orleanian and his award winning program, “Ringside Politics,” airs locally at 7:30 p.m. Fridays and at 10:00 p.m. Sundays on PBS affiliate WLAE-TV, Channel 32, and from 7-11 a.m. weekdays on WGSO 990-AM & www.Wgso.com. He is a political columnist, the author of America's Last Chance and provides regular commentaries on the Jeff Crouere YouTube channel and on www.JeffCrouere.com. For more information, email him at firstname.lastname@example.org