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With the Louisiana statewide election only a few days away, and with many voters already making their way to the polls, it would seem to be a good time for me to gaze into my crystal ball and make a prediction of just who will be successful after all the vote are tallied. As many of you regular reader well know, I generally am right on the money. (yeah, right!)
After the start of early voting and days before Election Day, President Donald Trump decided to intervene in the Louisiana Governor’s race. The intent of his Tuesday morning tweet was unmistakable. He wants to help both Republican candidates, businessman Eddie Rispone and U.S. Congressman Ralph Abraham, and force incumbent Louisiana Governor John Bel Edwards into a “runoff.” The President urged Republicans to vote for “either” of the candidates, referring to them as “both Great.”
It’s Louisiana primary elections 2019, Politics with a Punch time.
Elections are less than two weeks away. Early voting is upon us. Yard signs are out. Our politicians are knocking upon our doors. Our political antennas are piqued. We’re getting political come-ons on our cellphones, appeals in our emails and a barrage of negative ads on our TV’s, tablets and smartphones.
In politics, negative commercials are typical. Experts believe that it works, not in boosting turnout for the candidate attacking, but in reducing support for the candidate on the receiving end.
Thus, voters see it in almost every race. Although consultants, candidates and voters claim they do not like this form of political persuasion, it is pervasive, especially when challengers are trying to catch up to a leading candidate.
With absentee voting open and a Louisiana statewide election only days away, voters are making their final choices. In the race for Governor, the undecided vote has dropped to around 10%, about normal prior to a gubernatorial contest just before election day. But there is one other statewide race on the ballot. Louisiana Commissioner of Insurance. Have voters made their choice in this important office? Not by a long shot.
As a political issue in the Louisiana governor's race, how important is e-cigarettes or vaping? What about the Louisiana budget and corporate taxes?
These three issues started the first televised statewide debate Thursday night as Democrat incumbent governor, John Bel Edwards clashed with two Republicans--Congressman Ralph Abraham and businessman Eddie Rispone over these and other issues.
The debate was hosted by LSU’s Manship School of Mass Communication and Nexstar Media Group TV stations, airing around the state on radio and television and online.
If there is anything to say about this Louisiana governor's race polls this year, they appear to be rather consistent compared to prior years in terms of the potential ceiling for Governor John Bel Edwards. The surveys that I have seen have put Edwards close to "but no cigar" getting the necessary 50% plus one vote to avoid what would likely be a brutal contest runoff.
According to national political pundits, there is a revolution going on all over America. Voters are in a rebellion mode with little confidence in the political leadership at both the national and state levels. Being an incumbent politician is no longer a badge of honor. A poll released recently and sponsored by the Washington Post and ABC news finds that “72% of Americans believe that politicians cannot be trusted and two thirds think the country’s political system is dysfunctional.
In an interview today (approximately 3:36:30 mark) on the Ringside Politics radio show, M-F 7-11 a.m. CT WGSO 990-AM & www.Wgso.com, House Minority Whip Steve Scalise expressed his displeasure with the new attack ad launched by GOP gubernatorial candidate Eddie Rispone against fellow Republican candidate, U.S. Congressman Ralph Abraham. Scalise said “I don’t think Republicans should be attacking Republicans.”
On Monday, Rispone scorched Abraham in a commercial airing on statewide media markets. The ad hits Abraham for missing too many votes in Congress and not following through on a commitment to donate his congressional salary. It also claims that Abraham used his congressional salary to purchase a $500,000 airplane. In addition, the commercial ties Abraham to Nancy Pelosi, noting that they have voted together 300 times, and mentions that he backed away from President Trump after the “Access Hollywood” recording was released.
Last Tuesday, Leonard Preston, a criminal with a long history of offenses, terrorized a woman inside her own home in the Lower Garden District. Preston committed a home invasion in the 1200 block of St. Andrew Street.
Fortunately, she was not killed, but as he rifled through her belongings, Preston traumatized the frightened homeowner. The next day he was arrested as police discovered the victim’s stolen cell phone in Preston’s possession.
Current Secretary of State Kyle Ardoin is under attack by the Louisiana Democratic Party that is charging Louisiana’s elections are vulnerable to election fraud. The party ‘s recent statement reads: “Louisiana is one of the most vulnerable states for election interference in the nation because Republican Secretary of State Kyle Ardoin has failed to address cybersecurity issues and has kept our out-dated voting machines at risk.”
Is there any truth to such charges? I write with some knowledge of the voting system here in the Bayou State having served as Secretary of State for eight years. I have found little merit to such accusations. The current system works as well as any other state in the nation.
Based upon the just released poll conducted by Bernie Pinsonat Inc., John Bel Edwards appears to be able to prevent a nasty runoff but he's far from a shoe-in in his race against Republicans Congressman Ralph Abraham and businessman, Eddie Rispone. The poll indicates that with slightly more than one month left until election day, Edwards is at the cusp of victory, but not there. He needs one vote over fifty percent to deny a Republican in a one to one battle in a deep red GOP state. A runoff could be devastating for Edwards, a Democrat.
Also, Donald Trump appears to have some long coat-tails for those who want to ride them here in the upcoming Louisiana elections. His positive job ratings are 54% but his support remains through the roof among White Republican and White Independents.
Remember the days when candidates for U.S Senator or Governor would speak to thousands of supporters at weekend rallies all over Louisiana? Huey Long was the master, mainly because he promised he’d give voters just about anything they wanted. A long line of colorful politicians followed in Huey’s wake. But those days seem to be long gone and forgotten.
Louisiana is the only state in the South and the most conservative state in the nation with a Democrat Governor. Donald Trump earned 58% of the vote in Louisiana in 2016 and there is a decent chance that a Governor who supported Hillary Clinton will be re-elected on October 12 without being forced into a run-off.
Governor John Bel Edwards is a Democrat with conservative views on social issues such as gun rights and abortion. However, he also has liberal fiscal policies. Nonetheless, he is is in a comfortable lead in the homestretch of the race.